Now, months after La Nina vanished, NOAA forecasters that study climate have issued a “La Nina Watch” for the globe for late fall and winter 2011.
This is far from a sure thing. In fact a watch just means that La Nina conditions are ‘possibly’ going to develop within six months.
A strong La Nina like the one we had last year has major impacts on the northwest and around the globe.
But I’ve looked at the forecast tools for late fall 2011 and it looks like it would be a very weak La Nina–IF– it forms at all. That typically has much less of an impact around the globe. But guess what? Commodity traders are already abuzz about the whole thing!
More to come on this one…weak La Nina’s do sometimes form the winter after a strong La Nina…